Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.37) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 28.3% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 10.0% 11.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedQPR
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack43%86%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United QPR
HATHAT
Played131326131427
Wins23%15%19%54%29%41%
Draws38%23%31%15%29%22%
Loses38%62%50%31%43%37%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLD • QPR: DLLWWWDDWLWLLLDWWLWWLWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Oxford United QPR
HATHAT
GF total131225241438
GF avg1.00.91.01.81.01.4
GA total171835172239
GA avg1.31.41.31.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedQPR
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%88%85%74%
1.531%38%30%37%
2.54%8%22%15%
3.50%0%4%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedQPR
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score5510134

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedQPR
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedQPR
Wins13
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-47-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against3347

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedQPR
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or QPR

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 1.17 (league 1.37), QPR = 1.13 (league 1.15)

QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 10.0% 11.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 9 , vtd1