Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 19:45 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.37) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 22.0% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.1% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonSheffield Utd
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%100%
Defense18%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
Played131427121426
Wins38%21%30%42%36%38%
Draws38%29%33%17%0%8%
Loses23%50%37%42%64%54%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLL • Sheffield Utd: LLLLLLWLLWWLLLDWWWWDLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Southampton Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
GF total182139181836
GF avg1.41.51.41.51.31.4
GA total132740132639
GA avg1.01.91.51.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonSheffield Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%65%73%
1.537%44%38%35%
2.519%15%31%23%
3.54%4%4%12%
4.54%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonSheffield Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets404527
Failed to score415369

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonSheffield Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonSheffield Utd
Wins44
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-45-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonSheffield Utd
Form18%82%
Att21%79%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.94 (league 1.37), Sheffield Utd = 1.15 (league 1.13)

Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.1% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 22.2%

vtt 3 , vtd3