Championship
— England
Fri, Jan 30 2026 • 20:00 •
Ashton Gate Stadium
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.39)
1.31 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 26.1% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol City | 0 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 47% | 36% | 41% | 27% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 29% | 24% | 40% | 21% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
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DerbyLLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 15 | 40 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 16 | 31 | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol City | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 62% | 93% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 31% | 31% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 7% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 3-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.70 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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