Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • SToK Cae Ras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.37) 1.45 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 23.9% 34.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWrexhamMillwall
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wrexham Millwall
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins40%40%40%56%36%47%
Draws40%33%37%19%36%27%
Loses20%27%23%25%29%27%

Form: Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDWDWDWDDLDLWWWWLDWW • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWD

League goals

Metric Wrexham Millwall
HATHAT
GF total261844221537
GF avg1.71.21.51.41.11.2
GA total221537181836
GA avg1.51.01.21.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWrexhamMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%77%63%
1.540%40%33%33%
2.513%10%10%17%
3.53%0%3%7%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWrexhamMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets3587411
Failed to score044437

Penalties

MetricWrexhamMillwall
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricWrexhamMillwall
Wins44
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-30-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-44-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricWrexhamMillwall
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Wrexham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wrexham = 1.62 (league 1.37), Millwall = 1.45 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1