Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.37) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 17.5% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamLeicester
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack100%71%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Leicester
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins50%25%37%40%27%33%
Draws43%19%30%27%27%27%
Loses7%56%33%33%47%40%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDLWDWDW • Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDLLLDWWLLWDWLLWLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Birmingham Leicester
HATHAT
GF total281341202040
GF avg2.00.81.41.31.31.3
GA total142438192645
GA avg1.01.51.31.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamLeicester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%77%83%90%
1.533%33%40%43%
2.513%17%10%13%
3.510%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamLeicester
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score066325

Penalties

MetricBirminghamLeicester
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBirminghamLeicester
Wins22
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses2-33-00-24-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamLeicester
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total58.6%41.4%

Advice: Double chance : Birmingham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away4.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 2.49 (league 1.37), Leicester = 1.13 (league 1.15)

Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 15.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1