Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.37) 1.36 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 26.6% 41.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 7.9% 10.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityWrexham
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack36%43%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Wrexham
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%40%42%38%40%39%
Draws19%27%23%38%33%35%
Loses38%33%35%25%27%26%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWWLWLDLWLW • Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDWDWDWDDLDLWWWWLDWWL

League goals

Metric Bristol City Wrexham
HATHAT
GF total251843261844
GF avg1.61.21.41.61.21.4
GA total201838241539
GA avg1.31.21.21.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityWrexham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%65%84%74%
1.535%35%39%42%
2.523%10%13%10%
3.510%6%3%0%
4.53%6%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityWrexham
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511358
Failed to score5510145

Penalties

MetricBristol CityWrexham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBristol CityWrexham
Wins34
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-45-30-2
Biggest losses0-55-11-32-0
Goals For5453
Goals Against5532

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityWrexham
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.17 (league 1.37), Wrexham = 1.36 (league 1.14)

Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 7.9% 10.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1