Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Deepdale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.37) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 29.2% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preston 0 12.1% 10.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrestonWatford
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack14%14%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Preston Watford
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%33%39%50%20%35%
Draws31%40%35%31%40%35%
Loses25%27%26%19%40%29%

Form: Preston: DWWLDWDDWLLWWWDLDWDDWDDLWWLLLDW • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDL

League goals

Metric Preston Watford
HATHAT
GF total201838241539
GF avg1.31.21.21.51.01.3
GA total161834171936
GA avg1.01.21.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrestonWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%71%74%84%
1.535%29%39%29%
2.510%6%13%3%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrestonWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score437358

Penalties

MetricPrestonWatford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPrestonWatford
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-02-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-23-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricPrestonWatford
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Preston or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Preston = 1.24 (league 1.37), Watford = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preston 0 12.1% 10.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1