Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • King Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.37) 1.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 22.6% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 3.3% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.6% 8.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeicesterSouthampton
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack36%55%
Defense18%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leicester Southampton
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins40%25%32%47%25%35%
Draws27%25%26%33%31%32%
Loses33%50%42%20%44%32%

Form: Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDLLLDWWLLWDWLLWLWLDLLL • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Leicester Southampton
HATHAT
GF total202141202444
GF avg1.31.31.31.31.51.4
GA total192847132841
GA avg1.31.81.50.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeicesterSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%90%84%77%
1.539%45%35%39%
2.510%13%16%13%
3.50%3%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeicesterSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets213617
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricLeicesterSouthampton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeicesterSouthampton
Wins24
Draws42
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-01-5
Biggest losses0-24-10-24-0
Goals For3335
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricLeicesterSouthampton
Form9%91%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leicester = 1.71 (league 1.37), Southampton = 1.70 (league 1.14)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 3.3% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.6% 8.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 37.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1