Championship
— England
Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39)
0.71 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 27.4% | 18.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Charlton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 47% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 19% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 31% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
| Loses | 20% | 41% | 31% | 31% | 50% | 41% |
SouthamptonWDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWW
CharltonWDLLDWWDLWWDDWLLLLLDWLLDDWLLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 28 | 48 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 31 | 44 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Charlton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 78% | 75% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 41% | 16% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 16% | 6% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.55 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.75 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ Bet365
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League standings
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