Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.37) 1.40 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.8% 23.9% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordIpswich
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack22%50%
Defense72%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Ipswich
HATHAT
Played171633161531
Wins53%19%36%63%33%48%
Draws29%44%36%31%27%29%
Loses18%38%27%6%40%23%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDLDW • Ipswich: DDLDWWDWLLWWDWDWLDWWLWDWWWWLDWL

League goals

Metric Watford Ipswich
HATHAT
GF total261743302454
GF avg1.51.11.31.91.61.7
GA total172138122234
GA avg1.01.31.20.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordIpswich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%82%87%68%
1.542%30%48%23%
2.512%3%26%13%
3.50%0%10%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordIpswich
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267310
Failed to score358224

Penalties

MetricWatfordIpswich
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricWatfordIpswich
Wins44
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-10-35-3
Goals For3354
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricWatfordIpswich
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ipswich

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.65 (league 1.37), Ipswich = 1.40 (league 1.14)

Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 7 , vtd1