Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • MKM Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.37) 2.10 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 20.6% 57.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.4%
0 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 4.0% 8.3% 8.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.5% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHull CityDerby
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack33%50%
Defense61%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hull City Derby
HATHAT
Played171532171633
Wins47%53%50%29%50%39%
Draws18%20%19%35%19%27%
Loses35%27%31%35%31%33%

Form: Hull City: DWLLDWLDWWWDWLWLLWLWWWDWLWWWWDLL • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Hull City Derby
HATHAT
GF total242751212647
GF avg1.41.81.61.21.61.4
GA total262046231841
GA avg1.51.31.41.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHull CityDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%91%76%
1.556%47%33%30%
2.519%19%12%12%
3.50%6%3%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHull CityDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets459448
Failed to score415123

Penalties

MetricHull CityDerby
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricHull CityDerby
Wins45
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-00-5
Biggest losses1-44-23-53-1
Goals For3335
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricHull CityDerby
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derby

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hull City = 1.13 (league 1.37), Derby = 2.10 (league 1.14)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 4.0% 8.3% 8.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.5% 5.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 57.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1