Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 20:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.37) 0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 28.3% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 12.1% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonQPR
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%44%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton QPR
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins44%29%36%50%29%39%
Draws38%29%33%13%35%24%
Loses19%41%30%38%35%36%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWD • QPR: DLLWWWDDWLWLLLDWWLWWLWDLLWDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Southampton QPR
HATHAT
GF total212849291746
GF avg1.31.61.51.81.01.4
GA total143145242347
GA avg0.91.81.41.51.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonQPR
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%79%82%73%
1.536%39%33%36%
2.518%15%21%18%
3.56%3%3%6%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonQPR
HATHAT
Clean sheets617369
Failed to score415156

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonQPR
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonQPR
Wins43
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-47-1
Goals For3543
Goals Against2447

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonQPR
Form61%39%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total62.6%37.4%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.33 (league 1.37), QPR = 0.79 (league 1.15)

QPR
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 12.1% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1