Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Ewood Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.37) 1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 29.4% 46.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 13.0% 16.3% 10.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBlackburnBristol City
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack28%39%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Blackburn Bristol City
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins24%38%30%41%38%39%
Draws29%19%24%24%25%24%
Loses47%44%45%35%38%36%

Form: Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWWLWLDDDLWDDLDLLDLWLWW • Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWWLWLDLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Blackburn Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total161531271845
GF avg0.90.90.91.61.11.4
GA total221941221941
GA avg1.31.21.21.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBlackburnBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%67%67%
1.521%39%36%36%
2.56%12%21%9%
3.50%0%9%6%
4.50%0%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBlackburnBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets3696511
Failed to score47115611

Penalties

MetricBlackburnBristol City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBlackburnBristol City
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-55-1
Goals For2354
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricBlackburnBristol City
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h60%40%
Goals47%53%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Blackburn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ SBO
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Blackburn = 0.79 (league 1.37), Bristol City = 1.25 (league 1.14)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 13.0% 16.3% 10.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 46.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1