Championship
— England
Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 19:45 •
The Den
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.38)
0.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 25.8% | 23.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Millwall | 0 | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 56% | 39% |
| Defense | 72% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 16 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 53% | 44% | 48% | 50% | 29% | 39% |
| Draws | 18% | 31% | 24% | 44% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 29% | 25% | 27% | 6% | 53% | 30% |
MillwallWLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWL
BirminghamDWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDLWDWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 15 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 21 | 19 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Millwall | Birmingham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 64% | 79% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 12% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Millwall | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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