Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 20:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.37) 1.18 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 23.1% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 5.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack46%38%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played161834171734
Wins50%28%38%59%47%53%
Draws44%17%29%29%24%26%
Loses6%56%32%12%29%21%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDLWDWDWWDWL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWWWWWWLDD

League goals

Metric Birmingham Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total301545262551
GF avg1.90.81.31.51.51.5
GA total152843122234
GA avg0.91.61.30.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%76%71%
1.535%32%47%18%
2.512%18%18%9%
3.59%0%9%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388210
Failed to score178448

Penalties

MetricBirminghamMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirminghamMiddlesbrough
Wins26
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses2-33-02-43-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamMiddlesbrough
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 1.81 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 1.18 (league 1.15)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 5.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1