Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • The Valley
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.37) 1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 29.0% 44.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 11.9% 14.8% 9.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharltonWrexham
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack29%71%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Wrexham
HATHAT
Played161834181634
Wins44%17%29%44%38%41%
Draws25%39%32%33%38%35%
Loses31%44%38%22%25%24%

Form: Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWLLLLLDWLLDDWLLWDWLDD • Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDWDWDWDDLDLWWWWLDWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Charlton Wrexham
HATHAT
GF total171633332053
GF avg1.10.91.01.81.31.6
GA total172643281745
GA avg1.11.41.31.61.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharltonWrexham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%85%76%
1.515%32%44%44%
2.56%18%15%12%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%3%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharltonWrexham
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411358
Failed to score268145

Penalties

MetricCharltonWrexham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCharltonWrexham
Wins24
Draws23
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-30-2
Biggest losses1-54-01-32-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against5432

Model comparison

MetricCharltonWrexham
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total34.8%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charlton = 0.89 (league 1.37), Wrexham = 1.25 (league 1.15)

Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 11.9% 14.8% 9.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 7 , vtd1