Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:45 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.37) 1.12 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 27.3% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.9% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonNorwich
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack86%64%
Defense71%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Norwich
HATHAT
Played172037191837
Wins47%35%41%42%39%41%
Draws35%30%32%5%28%16%
Loses18%35%27%53%33%43%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDW • Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDLLDWLDWDWLWLWWWLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Southampton Norwich
HATHAT
GF total263460232851
GF avg1.51.71.61.21.61.4
GA total143448232245
GA avg0.81.71.31.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonNorwich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%78%81%78%
1.541%35%43%30%
2.522%14%8%11%
3.58%3%3%3%
4.55%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonNorwich
HATHAT
Clean sheets718448
Failed to score415527

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonNorwich
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonNorwich
Wins43
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-53-10-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-1
Goals For5535
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonNorwich
Form48%52%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals61%39%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away4.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.32 (league 1.37), Norwich = 1.12 (league 1.15)

Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.9% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1