Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Pride Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.37) 0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 22.5% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 7.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerbySheffield Wednesday
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack62%23%
Defense31%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Played181735181735
Wins33%47%40%0%6%3%
Draws33%18%26%22%24%23%
Loses33%35%34%78%71%74%

Form: Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLW • Sheffield Wednesday: LLDLLWDDLLLLDDLLLLDLLDDLLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Derby Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
GF total24285291221
GF avg1.31.61.50.50.70.6
GA total242246383371
GA avg1.31.31.32.11.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerbySheffield Wednesday
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%77%46%91%
1.537%31%14%69%
2.514%14%0%34%
3.53%6%0%6%
4.53%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerbySheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score12311819

Penalties

MetricDerbySheffield Wednesday
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricDerbySheffield Wednesday
Wins51
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-5—0-2
Biggest losses3-54-20-54-0
Goals For3522
Goals Against5454

Model comparison

MetricDerbySheffield Wednesday
Form100%0%
Att73%27%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total55.4%44.6%

Advice: Double chance : Derby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Betano
Draw5.73 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 1.81 (league 1.37), Sheffield Wednesday = 0.79 (league 1.15)

Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 7.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 16.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1