Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.37) 1.16 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 29.2% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordWrexham
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack50%92%
Defense42%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Wrexham
HATHAT
Played181937201737
Wins50%21%35%45%41%43%
Draws28%42%35%30%35%32%
Loses22%37%30%25%24%24%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDLDWLWDL • Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDWDWDWDDLDLWWWWLDWWLDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Watford Wrexham
HATHAT
GF total262147362157
GF avg1.41.11.31.81.21.5
GA total192645301747
GA avg1.11.41.21.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordWrexham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%84%86%73%
1.541%32%43%43%
2.511%5%14%11%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordWrexham
HATHAT
Clean sheets4264610
Failed to score459145

Penalties

MetricWatfordWrexham
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricWatfordWrexham
Wins44
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-30-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-32-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricWatfordWrexham
Form37%63%
Att35%65%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.02 (league 1.37), Wrexham = 1.16 (league 1.14)

Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 38.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1