Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.37) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 31.5% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 16.1% 11.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthSwansea
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack62%31%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Swansea
HATHAT
Played171835191736
Wins35%22%29%53%24%39%
Draws24%33%29%26%12%19%
Loses41%44%43%21%65%42%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWLLLWDDWLWDDWLLWWLLD • Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLDWLWWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Swansea
HATHAT
GF total181735281442
GF avg1.10.91.01.50.81.2
GA total172845192443
GA avg1.01.61.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthSwansea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%80%78%69%
1.523%29%31%33%
2.511%11%6%14%
3.50%6%3%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthSwansea
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377411
Failed to score6612178

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthSwansea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthSwansea
Wins22
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-01-43-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthSwansea
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Portsmouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 1.13 (league 1.37), Swansea = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 16.1% 11.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 22.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1