Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:45 • The Hawthorns
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.37) 1.92 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 22.1% 47.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Brom 0 3.4% 6.6% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWest BromSouthampton
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack21%100%
Defense57%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric West Brom Southampton
HATHAT
Played171936171835
Wins35%16%25%47%33%40%
Draws35%16%25%35%28%31%
Loses29%68%50%18%39%29%

Form: West Brom: WWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWLLWLLWLLLLDLDDLDLD • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric West Brom Southampton
HATHAT
GF total191635263157
GF avg1.10.81.01.51.71.6
GA total223153143246
GA avg1.31.61.50.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWest BromSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%86%77%
1.525%42%40%37%
2.56%19%23%14%
3.50%3%9%3%
4.50%3%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWest BromSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets437718
Failed to score5712415

Penalties

MetricWest BromSouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWest BromSouthampton
Wins24
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-35-01-5
Biggest losses0-53-00-24-0
Goals For3355
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricWest BromSouthampton
Form19%81%
Att18%82%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total27.0%73.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.17 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): West Brom = 1.45 (league 1.37), Southampton = 1.92 (league 1.15)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Brom 0 3.4% 6.6% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 47.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1