Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:45 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.37) 1.10 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 31.0% 40.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 14.2% 15.6% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedBlackburn
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Blackburn
HATHAT
Played171936191736
Wins24%21%22%21%35%28%
Draws35%26%31%32%18%25%
Loses41%53%47%47%47%47%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLDDWLLDLDLWW • Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWWLWLDDDLWDDLDLLDLWLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Oxford United Blackburn
HATHAT
GF total151934181634
GF avg0.91.00.90.90.90.9
GA total232548252247
GA avg1.41.31.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedBlackburn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%69%75%
1.531%39%19%42%
2.56%11%6%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedBlackburn
HATHAT
Clean sheets336369
Failed to score87154711

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedBlackburn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedBlackburn
Wins13
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-33-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedBlackburn
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Blackburn

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.86 (league 1.37), Blackburn = 1.10 (league 1.15)

Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 14.2% 15.6% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 40.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1