Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 20:00 • SToK Cae Ras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.37) 1.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 22.8% 26.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWrexhamSwansea
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%75%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wrexham Swansea
HATHAT
Played191736191837
Wins42%41%42%53%28%41%
Draws32%35%33%26%11%19%
Loses26%24%25%21%61%41%

Form: Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDWDWDWDDLDLWWWWLDWWLDWWWL • Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLDWLWWLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Wrexham Swansea
HATHAT
GF total342155281644
GF avg1.81.21.51.50.91.2
GA total301747192544
GA avg1.61.01.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWrexhamSwansea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%75%78%70%
1.542%44%32%32%
2.514%11%5%14%
3.56%0%3%3%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWrexhamSwansea
HATHAT
Clean sheets3697411
Failed to score145178

Penalties

MetricWrexhamSwansea
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricWrexhamSwansea
Wins42
Draws31
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-30-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-43-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricWrexhamSwansea
Form50%50%
Att65%35%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wrexham = 1.84 (league 1.37), Swansea = 1.26 (league 1.14)

Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 26.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1