Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.37) 0.86 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 28.1% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.8% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallBlackburn
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack83%33%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Blackburn
HATHAT
Played191837191837
Wins58%50%54%21%33%27%
Draws16%28%22%32%17%24%
Loses26%22%24%47%50%49%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWLWWWW • Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWWLWLDDDLWDDLDLLDLWLWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Millwall Blackburn
HATHAT
GF total272451181634
GF avg1.41.31.40.90.90.9
GA total212041252348
GA avg1.11.11.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallBlackburn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%59%68%76%
1.541%30%19%41%
2.514%16%5%14%
3.53%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallBlackburn
HATHAT
Clean sheets9615369
Failed to score4374812

Penalties

MetricMillwallBlackburn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMillwallBlackburn
Wins43
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-44-01-33-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricMillwallBlackburn
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away4.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.33 (league 1.37), Blackburn = 0.86 (league 1.15)

Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.8% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1