Championship
— England
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 20:00 •
Fratton Park
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.39)
1.53 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 25.6% | 48.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portsmouth | 0 | 7.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 46% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 33% | 22% | 28% | 37% | 44% | 41% |
| Draws | 22% | 33% | 28% | 32% | 17% | 24% |
| Loses | 44% | 44% | 44% | 32% | 39% | 35% |
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DerbyLLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 19 | 28 | 47 | 25 | 23 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portsmouth | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 81% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 31% | 38% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 3% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 3-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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