Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.37) 0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 27.1% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
12.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 11.9% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonOxford United
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%67%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Oxford United
HATHAT
Played182038191938
Wins50%35%42%26%21%24%
Draws33%30%32%37%26%32%
Loses17%35%26%37%53%45%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDWW • Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLDDWLLDLDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Southampton Oxford United
HATHAT
GF total273461171936
GF avg1.51.71.60.91.00.9
GA total143448242549
GA avg0.81.71.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonOxford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%76%61%82%
1.539%34%29%37%
2.521%13%5%11%
3.58%3%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonOxford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets819437
Failed to score4158715

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonOxford United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonOxford United
Wins43
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-52-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-33-1
Goals For5523
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonOxford United
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total53.8%46.4%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away6.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.43 (league 1.37), Oxford United = 0.70 (league 1.15)

Oxford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 11.9% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 11.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 18.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1