Championship
— England
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:30 •
Pride Park
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.38)
0.91 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | 25.8% | 22.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby | 0 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 25% |
| Defense | 42% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 19 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wins | 37% | 47% | 42% | 47% | 26% | 37% |
| Draws | 32% | 16% | 24% | 42% | 16% | 29% |
| Loses | 32% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 58% | 34% |
DerbyLLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLWWLW
BirminghamDWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDLWDWDWWDWLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 29 | 55 | 33 | 15 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby | Birmingham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 76% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 29% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 11% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Betano
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.64 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Betano
Under 2.51.91 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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