Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 19:00 • Coventry Building Society Arena
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.37) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 22.7% 21.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoventryDerby
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack61%39%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coventry Derby
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins74%50%62%40%47%44%
Draws16%25%21%30%16%23%
Loses11%25%18%30%37%33%

Form: Coventry: DWWDDDWWWWWWLWWWWWLDWDWLDLWWLLDWWWWWWLW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Coventry Derby
HATHAT
GF total404181272956
GF avg2.12.12.11.41.51.4
GA total152540252348
GA avg0.81.31.01.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoventryDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%64%90%74%
1.562%28%36%28%
2.533%10%13%13%
3.513%0%3%5%
4.58%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoventryDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets77145510
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricCoventryDerby
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricCoventryDerby
Wins65
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-53-10-5
Biggest losses0-23-03-54-2
Goals For7535
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricCoventryDerby
Form50%50%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Coventry or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Unibet
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coventry = 1.84 (league 1.37), Derby = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coventry 0 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 21.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1