Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Loftus Road
Match Finished

QPR

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.37) 1.53 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 22.5% 31.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 3.4% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.7% 7.4% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQPRWatford
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%39%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric QPR Watford
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins47%30%38%50%21%36%
Draws11%30%21%30%42%36%
Loses42%40%41%20%37%28%

Form: QPR: DLLWWWDDWLWLLLDWWLWWLWDLLWDDLWDLWLLLLWW • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDLDWLWDLWD

League goals

Metric QPR Watford
HATHAT
GF total352055292150
GF avg1.81.01.41.51.11.3
GA total313061202646
GA avg1.61.51.61.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQPRWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%77%74%82%
1.533%38%41%31%
2.523%21%13%5%
3.55%10%0%0%
4.53%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQPRWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets369527
Failed to score37105510

Penalties

MetricQPRWatford
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricQPRWatford
Wins34
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-47-10-23-1
Goals For6333
Goals Against4723

Model comparison

MetricQPRWatford
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Watford

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 10Bet
No2.18 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): QPR = 1.84 (league 1.37), Watford = 1.53 (league 1.15)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 3.4% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.7% 7.4% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 31.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1