Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 11:30 • Riverside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.37) 0.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 31.0% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbroughMillwall
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack44%44%
Defense83%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough Millwall
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins53%50%51%55%47%51%
Draws32%25%28%15%32%23%
Loses16%25%21%30%21%26%

Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWWWWWWLDDWWLDD • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWLWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough Millwall
HATHAT
GF total273259282553
GF avg1.41.61.51.41.31.4
GA total142337232144
GA avg0.71.20.91.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbroughMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%69%82%62%
1.546%15%38%31%
2.521%8%13%15%
3.510%3%3%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbroughMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets84129615
Failed to score5510437

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbroughMillwall
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbroughMillwall
Wins64
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-00-44-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbroughMillwall
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away5.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ SBO
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 10Bet
No2.17 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 1.13 (league 1.37), Millwall = 0.80 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1