Championship
— England
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 16:30 •
Swansea.com Stadium
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.37)
1.54 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2% | 25.1% | 44.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Middlesbrough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swansea | 0 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 19 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| Wins | 50% | 26% | 38% | 53% | 50% | 51% |
| Draws | 25% | 11% | 18% | 32% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 25% | 63% | 44% | 16% | 25% | 21% |
Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLDWLWWLWDLWWLL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWWWWWWLDDWWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 16 | 44 | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 27 | 49 | 14 | 23 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swansea | Middlesbrough | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 72% | 74% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 36% | 46% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 15% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 31.7% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 1.23 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 1.54 (league 1.14)
| Middlesbrough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swansea | 0 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 44.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1