Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Kassam Stadium
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.37)
1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 28.9% | 43.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Watford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oxford United | 0 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 71% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 20 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 23% | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| Draws | 40% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 35% | 55% | 45% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLDDWLLDLDLWWWDLD • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDLDWLWDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 25 | 27 | 52 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oxford United | Watford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 83% | 75% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 10% | 13% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oxford United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Oxford United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.92 (league 1.37), Watford = 1.25 (league 1.15)
| Watford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oxford United | 0 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 43.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1