Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 14:00 •
Swansea.com Stadium
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38)
1.83 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.1% | 22.0% | 39.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Southampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swansea | 0 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 48% | 29% | 38% | 57% | 38% | 48% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 24% | 57% | 40% | 14% | 33% | 24% |
SwanseaLWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLDWLWWLWDLWWLLDDW
SouthamptonWDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 20 | 50 | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 24 | 30 | 54 | 15 | 35 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swansea | Southampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 88% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 38% | 45% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 17% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 2% | 10% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 24.7% | 75.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.43 @ SBO
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Betano
No2.15 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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