Championship
— England
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 18:45 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.38)
0.67 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 29.3% | 19.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bristol City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 88% | 31% |
| Defense | 81% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 57% | 41% | 49% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 29% | 23% |
| Loses | 14% | 32% | 23% | 45% | 33% | 40% |
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Bristol CityWDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWWLWLDLWLWDLWLLLDLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 41 | 75 | 31 | 23 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 36 | 51 | 31 | 24 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Bristol City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 74% | 65% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 30% | 35% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 12% | 16% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 2% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 74% | 26% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.31 @ Pinnacle
Away8.69 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.42 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Betano
📊
League standings
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