Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Bramall Lane
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.38)
1.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.4% | 24.2% | 31.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Preston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sheffield Utd | 0 | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sheffield Utd carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 93 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sheffield Utd -4.3, Preston -7.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sheffield Utd
vs
Preston
Elo gapSheffield Utd +93
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo2950.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2950.3
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504.3 | 1446 |
| Form Elo | 1496.5 | 1432.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.9 | 1482.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1585.5 | 1417.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1500.4 | 1479.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.3 | -7.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sheffield Utd last-5 Elo change: -4.3; Preston last-5 Elo change: -7.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 53% | 40% |
| Defense | 47% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 41% | 36% | 39% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 18% | 9% | 14% | 32% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 41% | 55% | 48% | 32% | 36% | 34% |
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PrestonDWWLDWDDWLLWWWDLDWDDWDDLWWLLLDWDLDLLLLWDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 26 | 62 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 30 | 32 | 62 | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sheffield Utd | Preston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 77% | 73% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 34% | 34% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 7% | 0% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw4.66 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ 888Sport
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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