Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
Riverside Stadium
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.38)
0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 27.4% | 18.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Watford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Middlesbrough | 0 | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 46% | 15% |
| Defense | 46% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 50% | 45% | 48% | 45% | 18% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 32% | 30% | 32% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 45% | 34% |
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WatfordLWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWLDDLDLDWLWDLWDLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 36 | 65 | 30 | 22 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 23 | 33 | 56 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Middlesbrough | Watford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 70% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 20% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 7% | 11% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ 888Sport
Draw5.40 @ Dafabet
Away8.40 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.52 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Unibet
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League standings
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