Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Loftus Road
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.39)
1.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 21.5% | 42.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| QPR | 0 | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | QPR | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 45% | 27% | 36% | 45% | 41% | 43% |
| Draws | 14% | 32% | 23% | 27% | 14% | 20% |
| Loses | 41% | 41% | 41% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
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League goals
| Metric | QPR | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 38 | 21 | 59 | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 34 | 33 | 67 | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | QPR | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 77% | 91% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 39% | 36% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 18% | 11% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 9% | 2% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | QPR | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-1 | 3-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away2.35 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.14 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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