League One — England
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Bloomfield Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.41) 2.39 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 19.4% 50.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackpool 0 1.7% 4.2% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBlackpoolLuton
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack17%58%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Blackpool Luton
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%60%50%56%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses25%100%67%40%50%44%

Form: Blackpool: LLWLLDLWL • Luton: WWLWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Blackpool Luton
HATHAT
GF total7185712
GF avg1.80.20.91.01.81.3
GA total6915459
GA avg1.51.81.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBlackpoolLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%89%44%
1.522%44%33%33%
2.511%22%11%22%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBlackpoolLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score044101

Penalties

MetricBlackpoolLuton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBlackpoolLuton
Wins12
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—1-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-12-33-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricBlackpoolLuton
Form40%60%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Blackpool = 1.66 (league 1.41), Luton = 2.39 (league 1.13)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackpool 0 1.7% 4.2% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
1 2.9% 6.9% 8.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 50.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1