League One — England
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • LNER Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.42) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.3% 15.4% 7.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 4.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnWigan
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack86%71%
Defense14%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Wigan
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDD • Wigan: WLWLDD

League goals

Metric Lincoln Wigan
HATHAT
GF total628628
GF avg2.00.71.32.00.71.3
GA total336257
GA avg1.01.01.00.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnWigan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.533%33%50%33%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnWigan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricLincolnWigan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLincolnWigan
Wins21
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-1—
Biggest losses—2-0—2-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricLincolnWigan
Form62%38%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 2.39 (league 1.42), Wigan = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 4.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.3% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1