League One — England
Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • Select Car Leasing Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.44) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 34.5% 28.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 19.2% 14.4% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReadingNorthampton
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack67%56%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reading Northampton
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins40%0%17%50%33%42%
Draws20%57%42%17%17%17%
Loses40%43%42%33%50%42%

Form: Reading: LLLDDWLWDDDL • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Reading Northampton
HATHAT
GF total58136410
GF avg1.01.11.11.00.70.8
GA total612183811
GA avg1.21.71.50.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReadingNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%92%58%50%
1.525%50%25%33%
2.50%8%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReadingNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101426
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricReadingNorthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricReadingNorthampton
Wins13
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-23-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricReadingNorthampton
Form46%54%
Att55%45%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Reading or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reading = 0.90 (league 1.44), Northampton = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 19.2% 14.4% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 28.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1