League One — England
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • AESSEAL New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.41) 0.40 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 26.9% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamExeter City
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack57%100%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Exeter City
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins50%0%20%67%33%50%
Draws50%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%60%33%67%50%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDL • Exeter City: LWLWLW

League goals

Metric Rotherham Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total404819
GF avg2.00.00.82.70.31.5
GA total358336
GA avg1.51.71.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%67%67%
1.540%40%33%33%
2.50%20%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricRotherhamExeter City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRotherhamExeter City
Wins11
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-10-1
Biggest losses—3-01-22-0
Goals For2041
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamExeter City
Form31%69%
Att31%69%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rotherham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 1.41 (league 1.41), Exeter City = 0.40 (league 1.12)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1