Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.44) 0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 15.3% 5.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.2%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 6.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonWigan
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack47%53%
Defense73%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Wigan
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%75%0%38%
Draws50%75%63%25%50%38%
Loses0%25%13%0%50%25%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWD • Wigan: WLWLDDDW

League goals

Metric Bolton Wigan
HATHAT
GF total73109413
GF avg1.80.81.32.31.01.6
GA total257279
GA avg0.51.30.90.51.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonWigan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%75%
1.525%13%63%38%
2.513%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonWigan
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricBoltonWigan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBoltonWigan
Wins11
Draws43
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-0
Biggest losses2-02-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricBoltonWigan
Form54%46%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h20%80%
Goals11%89%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 2.26 (league 1.44), Wigan = 0.44 (league 1.14)

Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 6.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 5.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1