Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • LNER Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 2.28 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 18.6% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 3.9% 8.8% 10.0% 7.6% 4.3% 2.0%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnLuton
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack40%47%
Defense73%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Luton
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins50%50%50%50%67%57%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%13%50%33%43%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDW • Luton: WWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Lincoln Luton
HATHAT
GF total83114610
GF avg2.00.81.41.02.01.4
GA total538426
GA avg1.30.81.01.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%86%43%
1.538%38%43%29%
2.513%0%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLincolnLuton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLincolnLuton
Wins22
Draws30
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-00-3
Biggest losses2-02-32-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLincolnLuton
Form60%40%
Att46%54%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 0.97 (league 1.44), Luton = 2.28 (league 1.14)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 3.9% 8.8% 10.0% 7.6% 4.3% 2.0%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1