Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.44) 1.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 28.4% 47.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 11.6% 15.3% 10.1% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeMansfield Town
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack33%53%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%50%25%38%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses75%50%63%25%50%38%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLW • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Port Vale Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total3368412
GF avg0.80.80.82.01.01.5
GA total6394610
GA avg1.50.81.11.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%88%88%
1.525%38%38%38%
2.50%13%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricPort ValeMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPort ValeMansfield Town
Wins03
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-24-11-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-22-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeMansfield Town
Form27%73%
Att38%62%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mansfield Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.84 (league 1.44), Mansfield Town = 1.32 (league 1.14)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 11.6% 15.3% 10.1% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 47.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1