Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Oakwell
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 26.9% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 8.7% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyPort Vale
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack41%35%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Port Vale
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins75%50%63%20%25%22%
Draws25%0%13%20%25%22%
Loses0%50%25%60%50%56%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWL • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Barnsley Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total10414538
GF avg2.51.01.81.00.80.9
GA total64107310
GA avg1.51.01.31.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%56%67%
1.550%38%33%33%
2.550%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyPort Vale
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyPort Vale
Wins20
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-10-2
Biggest losses2-02-32-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyPort Vale
Form60%40%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h80%20%
Goals74%26%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Barnsley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 1.39 (league 1.44), Port Vale = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 8.7% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1