Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 26.2% 48.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 8.6% 12.7% 9.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.4% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionPlymouth
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack6%47%
Defense65%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Plymouth
HATHAT
Played437549
Wins25%0%14%40%25%33%
Draws25%33%29%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%57%60%75%67%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLD • Plymouth: LLLLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total2356511
GF avg0.51.00.71.21.31.2
GA total551071118
GA avg1.31.71.41.42.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionPlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%56%89%
1.529%43%33%67%
2.50%29%22%33%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionPlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionPlymouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionPlymouth
Wins12
Draws10
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-22-3
Biggest losses0-33-21-34-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionPlymouth
Form18%82%
Att11%89%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 0.97 (league 1.44), Plymouth = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 8.6% 12.7% 9.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.4% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1