Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 32.8% 24.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Doncaster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 17.5% 12.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonDoncaster
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack41%35%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Doncaster
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%50%50%60%50%56%
Draws0%0%0%20%0%11%
Loses50%50%50%20%50%33%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLL • Doncaster: WWDLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Luton Doncaster
HATHAT
GF total47117310
GF avg1.01.81.41.40.81.1
GA total4594610
GA avg1.01.31.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonDoncaster
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%78%67%
1.538%38%22%33%
2.513%25%11%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonDoncaster
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricLutonDoncaster
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLutonDoncaster
Wins23
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-23-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricLutonDoncaster
Form40%60%
Att54%46%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h64%36%
Goals69%31%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away4.80 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.04 (league 1.44), Doncaster = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Doncaster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 17.5% 12.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.8% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1