Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.44) 0.21 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 45.5% 9.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.3%
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 39.3% 8.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonBolton
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack31%77%
Defense77%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Bolton
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%25%38%60%0%33%
Draws25%0%13%40%75%56%
Loses25%75%50%0%25%11%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWL • Bolton: LWDDDDWDW

League goals

Metric Northampton Bolton
HATHAT
GF total32511314
GF avg0.80.50.62.20.81.6
GA total178358
GA avg0.31.81.00.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%89%78%
1.513%38%33%11%
2.50%13%22%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonBolton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonBolton
Wins31
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-1
Biggest losses0-13-12-0
Goals For2141
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonBolton
Form50%50%
Att29%71%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bolton and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 0.72 (league 1.44), Bolton = 0.21 (league 1.14)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 39.3% 8.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 45.5% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1