League One — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Weston Homes Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.44) 0.91 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 37.2% 45.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
0 - 1
23.5%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 25.7% 23.5% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.4% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPeterboroughLincoln
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack46%62%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peterborough Lincoln
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%60%50%56%
Draws25%0%11%40%25%33%
Loses50%80%67%0%25%11%

Form: Peterborough: LLLLDLLWW • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Peterborough Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total34711314
GF avg0.80.80.82.20.81.6
GA total51015639
GA avg1.32.01.71.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePeterboroughLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%89%67%
1.522%56%44%33%
2.50%22%22%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPeterboroughLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricPeterboroughLincoln
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPeterboroughLincoln
Wins02
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricPeterboroughLincoln
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lincoln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Peterborough = 0.45 (league 1.44), Lincoln = 0.91 (league 1.14)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 25.7% 23.5% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.4% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1