League One — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • The Brick Community Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.42) 0.35 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 50.9% 19.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.2%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wigan 0 43.2% 15.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWiganCardiff
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack69%62%
Defense31%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wigan Cardiff
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins75%0%33%75%50%63%
Draws25%40%33%0%50%25%
Loses0%60%33%25%0%13%

Form: Wigan: WLWLDDDWL • Cardiff: WDWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Wigan Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total951410313
GF avg2.31.01.62.50.81.6
GA total21113415
GA avg0.52.21.41.00.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWiganCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%88%38%
1.556%44%38%13%
2.522%11%25%13%
3.50%11%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWiganCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricWiganCardiff
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWiganCardiff
Wins14
Draws31
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-00-1
Biggest losses—4-11-3—
Goals For3241
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricWiganCardiff
Form38%63%
Att53%47%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total44.5%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wigan = 0.48 (league 1.42), Cardiff = 0.35 (league 1.13)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wigan 0 43.2% 15.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 50.9% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1